Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.422352 0.545701 0.679556 0.833655 1.004401 1.186259 1.393130
2025-05-11 0.267426 0.434536 0.634948 0.883467 1.175445 1.501130 1.886013
2025-05-18 0.176916 0.355044 0.587328 0.891373 1.262619 1.688533 2.202989
2025-05-25 0.095331 0.261297 0.503045 0.839785 1.267985 1.773134 2.396079
2025-06-01 0.042813 0.186162 0.426211 0.783467 1.255989 1.827801 2.545879
2025-06-08 0.017154 0.140330 0.380506 0.760070 1.278760 1.919151 2.734531
2025-06-15 0.006839 0.118176 0.366592 0.777146 1.351042 2.069126 2.991675
2025-06-22 0.000749 0.091180 0.337742 0.768363 1.386263 2.171019 3.189157
2025-06-29 NaN 0.065629 0.303904 0.747493 1.402078 2.246300 3.352468
2025-07-06 NaN 0.059655 0.308539 0.785739 1.498551 2.423865 3.641285
2025-07-13 NaN 0.056596 0.318826 0.832718 1.607080 2.616928 3.949410
2025-07-20 NaN 0.053569 0.328327 0.878094 1.713261 2.807010 4.254002
2025-07-27 NaN 0.056023 0.353803 0.953944 1.868159 3.067140 4.654755
2025-08-03 NaN 0.051689 0.361338 1.000429 1.982725 3.276911 4.995456
2025-08-10 NaN 0.041060 0.348528 1.010811 2.044585 3.417223 5.248652
2025-08-17 NaN 0.022146 0.300164 0.955117 2.008509 3.427812 5.338288
2025-08-24 NaN 0.008867 0.252986 0.894930 1.961813 3.421571 5.404424
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003319 0.226708 0.869785 1.964688 3.479234 5.549563
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001799 0.222888 0.888122 2.033261 3.625007 5.806927
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000257 0.206310 0.878695 2.058251 3.711337 5.987915
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.184869 0.856289 2.061660 3.767465 6.129516
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.192429 0.897335 2.165128 3.960626 6.447923
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.204096 0.947668 2.283455 4.174340 6.793075